Together We Can Build Common Ground
2021 Natick Candidate Conversations
Natick Public School Enrollment by Grade - As of October 1, 2019. "We believe that while the Natick Public Schools will not see the large enrollment
increases it has experienced in the last ten years, modest to minimal growth will continue in the future." (NPS Preliminary FY21 budget).
NPS K-12 enrollment projections, including NESDEC projection, Enrollment Study and MSBA Enrollment projection.
Here are the three projections we believe inform our future planning at this time. The latest report does not satisfy our needs in total--it does not account for in and out migration or births or new construction or any real estate trends. It is in line with NESDEC’s projections but those have not held true. So the three projections work to bind our possibilities and that’s as comfortable as we can be with projections at this time. We continue to work on this with our outside vendor.
(Dr. Nolin, Ed Sub Committee meeting Jan-Feb 2020).
The enrollment planning/redistricting tool from NPS: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19GaqxqLnZ_d8sAt2m9erSxuKIRixJvE0uaNgFFVKPt0/edit#gid=1624041552
In the comment quoted above, Dr. Nolin is referring to a space and enrollment study contracted this year by NPS. The cost was about $75K The School Committee asked the company that subcontracted the enrollment portion of the study to redo it because it was not complete. I am waiting on reply from a request made to Dr. Gray, Assistant Superintendent of Finance for NPS, on June 1st to verify that the company accepted the school committee's ask to redo the study and to find out when the study will be available to the public.
Dr. Gray responded today, June 16th, that NPS has reached out to the firm and are waiting to hear back.
@Catherine Brunell - Did you ever hear back from this request?
@Kate Flathers No, I did not hear anything past June 16th but did follow up again today.
The School Committee responded today on Dr. Gray's behalf and shared that the report was unsatisfactory because the firm that was subcontracted did not share the methodology used to arrive at the projects. Instead, the architect used the data from NESDEQ and Natick's enrollment projections.